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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

26 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

GWANGJU FC vs JEJU SK

Final 1:2

Jeju SK won Last goal: Jeju SK

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ji-Hoon Jeong — Gwangju FC
  2. ⚽ Jae-Hyeok Oh — Jeju SK

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Kyoung-Rok Choi (straight red) — Gwangju FC
  2. ⚽ Gi-Min Kwon — Jeju SK

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Jeju SK
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 30% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 83 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 247 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 303 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
83 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
168 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
221 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
162 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
230 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
267 predictions

Match overview