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South Korea · K League 1 · K-League 1

22 Jul 2026 10:30 UTC

GWANGJU FC vs GIMCHEON SANGMU

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Gimcheon Sangmu

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ John Iredale — Gwangju FC
  2. ⚽ Jae-Hyun Go — Gimcheon Sangmu

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Gwangju FC
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 242 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 297 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 96 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 70% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)
215 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
160 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
226 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
262 predictions

Match overview