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USA · Major League Soccer

26 Jul 2026 02:30 UTC

LOS ANGELES FC vs SPORTING KANSAS CITY

Final 4:0

Los Angeles FC won Last goal: Los Angeles FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Son Heung-Min — Los Angeles FC
  2. ⚽ Denis Bouanga · assist Mathieu Choinière — Los Angeles FC
  3. ⚽ David Martínez · assist Denis Bouanga — Los Angeles FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Denis Bouanga · assist Tyler Boyd — Los Angeles FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
39%
1X2
Los Angeles FC
90-minute result: Los Angeles FC
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 78 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 542 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 659 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 87 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Good)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
504 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
255 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
525 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
263 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
436 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
553 predictions

Match overview