← Back to matches

USA · Major League Soccer

26 Jul 2026 00:30 UTC

ST. LOUIS CITY vs COLORADO RAPIDS

Final 1:0

St. Louis City won Last goal: St. Louis City

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Rob Holding (straight red) — Colorado Rapids

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tomás Ostrák · assist Tomas Totland — St. Louis City

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Colorado Rapids
90-minute result: St. Louis City
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Big miss
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
25%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:6

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 542 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 659 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 57% (Good)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
504 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
255 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
525 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
396 predictions
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
223 predictions
Total 4.5 25% (Weak)
106 predictions

Match overview