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USA · Major League Soccer

25 Jul 2026 23:30 UTC

CF MONTREAL vs INTER MIAMI CF

Final 0:1

Inter Miami CF won Last goal: Inter Miami CF

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Luis Suárez (penalty) — Inter Miami CF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
CF Montreal
90-minute result: Inter Miami CF
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
18%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 46% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 156 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 536 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 659 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 88 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 68% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
504 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
255 predictions
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
134 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
263 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
436 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
553 predictions

Match overview