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USA · USL Championship

26 Jul 2026 02:00 UTC

OAKLAND ROOTS SC vs SACRAMENTO REPUBLIC FC

Final 1:3

Sacramento Republic FC won Last goal: Sacramento Republic FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Memo Rodríguez — Sacramento Republic FC
  2. ⚽ Florian Valot — Oakland Roots SC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kyle Edwards — Sacramento Republic FC
  2. ⚽ Kyle Edwards — Sacramento Republic FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
40%
1X2
Sacramento Republic FC
90-minute result: Sacramento Republic FC
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 421 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 500 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
347 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
276 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
363 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
224 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
384 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
451 predictions

Match overview