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USA · USL Championship

26 Jul 2026 01:00 UTC

EL PASO LOCOMOTIVE FC vs SPORTING JAX

Final 2:0

El Paso Locomotive FC won Last goal: El Paso Locomotive FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Amando Moreno — El Paso Locomotive FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Rubio Rubín — El Paso Locomotive FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Sporting JAX
90-minute result: El Paso Locomotive FC
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 92 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 421 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 500 completed matches.

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 35% (Weak)
347 predictions
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
276 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
363 predictions
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
224 predictions
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
384 predictions
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
451 predictions

Match overview