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Poland · II Liga

26 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

AVIA SWIDNIK vs OLIMPIA GRUDZIADZ

Final 4:1

Avia Swidnik won Last goal: Avia Swidnik

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Szymon Michalski — Olimpia Grudziadz
  2. ⚽ Andriy Remenyuk — Avia Swidnik

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andriy Remenyuk — Avia Swidnik
  2. ⚽ Kacper Jodlowski — Avia Swidnik
  3. ⚽ Kacper Welniak — Avia Swidnik

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Avia Swidnik
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 101 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 326 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 395 completed matches.

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 60% (Good)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 32% (Weak)
106 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
226 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
300 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
192 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
95 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
352 predictions

Match overview