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Poland · II Liga

25 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

LEGIA WARSZAWA II vs STAL STALOWA WOLA

Final 0:2

Stal Stalowa Wola won Last goal: Stal Stalowa Wola

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Maksymilian Hebel — Stal Stalowa Wola
  2. Maksymilian Hebel (penalty) — Stal Stalowa Wola

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 388 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 69% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
283 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
221 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
295 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
188 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
293 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
345 predictions

Match overview