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Poland · II Liga

25 Jul 2026 18:00 UTC

LECHIA ZIELONA GORA vs REKORD BIELSKO-BIALA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Lechia Zielona Gora

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Kacper Kasprzak — Rekord Bielsko-Biala
  2. ⚽ Dominik Wiecek — Lechia Zielona Gora

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Lechia Zielona Gora
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
28%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 389 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
284 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
167 predictions
Total 1.5 24% (Weak)
93 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
200 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
346 predictions

Match overview