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Poland · II Liga

25 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

SWIT SKOLWIN vs GORNIK LECZNA

Final 2:3

Gornik Leczna won Last goal: Swit Skolwin

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Krzysztof Ropski — Swit Skolwin
  2. ⚽ Adam Deja — Gornik Leczna
  3. ⚽ Bartlomiej Korbecki — Gornik Leczna

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Mateusz Holownia — Gornik Leczna
  2. ⚽ Kacper Wojdak — Swit Skolwin

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Swit Skolwin
90-minute result: Gornik Leczna
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 103 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 320 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 389 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 44 past matches

1X2 25% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
284 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
222 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
296 predictions
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
189 predictions
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
294 predictions
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
346 predictions

Match overview