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USA · Major League Soccer

25 Jul 2026 22:30 UTC

RED BULL NEW YORK vs CHARLOTTE FC

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Weak
39%
1X2
Red Bull New York
Risky
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Strong
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Good
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 536 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 659 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 70% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 59 past matches

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 31% (Weak)
Total 1.5 59% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
504 predictions
Both teams to score 37% (Weak)
255 predictions
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
525 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
396 predictions
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
436 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
553 predictions

Match preview