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Bulgaria · A PFG · First Professional League

27 Jul 2026 18:15 UTC

CSKA SOFIA vs BOTEV PLOVDIV

Final 3:2

CSKA Sofia won Last goal: Botev Plovdiv

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Carlos Algarra — Botev Plovdiv
  2. ⚽ Joël Zwarts — CSKA Sofia

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Joël Zwarts — CSKA Sofia
  2. ⚽ Ioannis Pittas — CSKA Sofia
  3. ⚽ Asen Chandarov — Botev Plovdiv

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
CSKA Sofia
90-minute result: CSKA Sofia
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
9%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 47% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 51 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 301 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 379 completed matches.

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 87% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 90 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 48% (Average)
273 predictions
Both teams to score 42% (Weak)
187 predictions
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
270 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
148 predictions
Total 3.5 19% (Weak)
69 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
357 predictions

Match overview