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Bulgaria · B PFG · Second Professional League

25 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

SPORTIST SVOGE vs MONTANA

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Montana

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Kevin Naga — Sportist Svoge
  2. ⚽ Velislav Vasilev — Montana

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Fofana Abdul — Sportist Svoge
  2. ⚽ Georgi Karakashev — Montana

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Sportist Svoge
90-minute result: Draw
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 48 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 360 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
257 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
184 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
225 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
299 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
330 predictions

Match overview