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Bulgaria · B PFG · Second Professional League

24 Jul 2026 15:45 UTC

BEROE vs HEBAR

Final 2:1

Beroe won Last goal: Beroe

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Ismael Ferrer — Beroe

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ivan Tilev — Hebar
  2. ⚽ Ismael Ferrer — Beroe

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Hebar
90-minute result: Beroe
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
Off target
16%
Score
2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 9% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 22 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 278 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 359 completed matches.

1X2 43% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 32 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 75% (Strong)
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 16% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 43% (Weak)
256 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
175 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
254 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
134 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
60 predictions
Total 4.5 10% (Weak)
29 predictions

Match overview