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Bulgaria · B PFG · Second Professional League

25 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

LOKOMOTIV GORNA ORYAHOVITSA vs FC CHERNOMORETS BURGAS

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stefan Stefanov — FC Chernomorets Burgas
  2. ⚽ Dilyan Georgiev — Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
FC Chernomorets Burgas
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 52 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 360 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
257 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
176 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
299 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
330 predictions

Match overview