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Bulgaria · B PFG · Second Professional League

25 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

NESEBAR vs ETAR

Final 1:5

Etar won Last goal: Etar

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tsvetomir Tsanev — Etar
  2. ⚽ Ivan Kolev — Nesebar
  3. ⚽ Georgi Ivanov — Etar
  4. ⚽ Toma Ushagelov — Etar

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Toma Ushagelov — Etar
  2. ⚽ Petar Petrov — Etar

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Solid call
45%
1X2
Etar
90-minute result: Etar
Off target
62%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
0:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 2 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 279 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 360 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 55% (Good)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
Total 3.5 77% (Strong)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
257 predictions
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
184 predictions
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
255 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
135 predictions
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
61 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
330 predictions

Match overview