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Argentina · Liga Profesional · Clausura

25 Jul 2026 20:00 UTC

NEWELL'S OLD BOYS vs TALLERES

Final 1:0

Newell's Old Boys won Last goal: Newell's Old Boys

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Matías Cóccaro (penalty) — Newell's Old Boys
  2. 🟥 Román Riquelme (2nd yellow) — Talleres

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Newell's Old Boys
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 186 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 488 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 576 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 72 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 86% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
341 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
237 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
409 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
512 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
549 predictions

Match overview