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Argentina · Liga Profesional · Clausura

24 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

RACING CLUB vs GIMNASIA LP

Final 2:1

Racing Club won Last goal: Racing Club

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Matko Miljevic — Racing Club
  2. Bautista Barros Schelotto — Gimnasia LP

2nd half

  1. Nazareno Colombo — Racing Club

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
6%
Score
4:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 77 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 484 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 572 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 83 past matches

1X2 28% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 51% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
386 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
233 predictions
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
337 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
165 predictions
Total 3.5 16% (Weak)
62 predictions
Total 4.5 12% (Weak)
25 predictions

Match overview