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Argentina · Liga Profesional · Clausura

25 Jul 2026 00:15 UTC

CLUB ATLETICO PLATENSE vs UNION

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Club Atletico Platense

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Tomas Fagioli (own goal) — Club Atletico Platense

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Pablo Ludueña — Union
  2. ⚽ Cristian Tarragona (penalty) — Union
  3. ⚽ Bautista Merlini — Club Atletico Platense

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Nice call
59%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
83%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
92%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
14%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 186 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 488 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 572 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 49% (Average)
Total 2.5 59% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 73 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
Score 14% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
186 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
233 predictions
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
337 predictions
Total 2.5 69% (Strong)
407 predictions
Total 3.5 88% (Strong)
510 predictions
Total 4.5 95% (Strong)
547 predictions

Match overview