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Europe · Europa League Qualification

23 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

TROMSOE vs HRADEC KRALOVE

Final 0:1

Hradec Kralove won Last goal: Hradec Kralove

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Mick van Buren — Hradec Kralove

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
37%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
41%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 80% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 5 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 94 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 94 completed matches.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

1X2 0% (Weak)
Both teams to score 0% (Weak)
Total 1.5 0% (Weak)
Total 2.5 0% (Weak)
Total 3.5 0% (Weak)
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 44% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
49 predictions
Total 1.5 76% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
50 predictions
Total 3.5 36% (Weak)
28 predictions
Total 4.5 0% (Weak)
11 predictions

Match overview