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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Final Stage

23 Jul 2026 00:30 UTC

SPORTING CRISTAL vs RED BULL BRAGANTINO

Final 0:0

Draw

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Fernando (straight red) — Red Bull Bragantino

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Red Bull Bragantino
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Off target
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
17%
Score
0:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 43% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 7 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 126 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 204 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 67% (Strong)
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
Total 3.5 67% (Strong)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 17% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
119 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
191 predictions

Match overview