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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Final Stage

22 Jul 2026 00:30 UTC

UNIVERSIDAD CENTRAL vs SANTOS FC

Final 1:4

Santos FC won Last goal: Santos FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Gabriel Bontempo — Santos FC

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gabriel Menino — Santos FC
  2. ⚽ Thaciano — Santos FC
  3. ⚽ Rony — Santos FC
  4. ⚽ Maicol Ruiz — Universidad Central

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Santos FC
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
20%
Score
0:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 125 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 203 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 80% (Strong)
Total 1.5 100% (Strong)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 20% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
61 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
119 predictions
Total 1.5 33% (Weak)
79 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
167 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
190 predictions

Match overview