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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Final Stage

28 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

TIGRE vs NACIONAL

Model prediction

Good
45%
1X2
Tigre
Weak
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Risky
34%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Risky
34%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
5%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 75% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 130 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 6 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 17% (Weak)
Both teams to score 17% (Weak)
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
147 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
123 predictions
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
128 predictions
Total 2.5 32% (Weak)
81 predictions
Total 3.5 5% (Weak)
37 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
196 predictions

Match preview