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South America · Copa Sudamericana · Copa Sudamericana Final Stage

22 Jul 2026 22:00 UTC

INDEPENDIENTE MEDELLIN vs VASCO DA GAMA

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

Weak
37%
1X2
Draw
Weak
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Good
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Weak
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Good
71%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Strong
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Weak
9%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 32% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 60 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 30% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 125 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 204 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 11 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 27% (Weak)
Total 3.5 55% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
61 predictions
Both teams to score 41% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
125 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
126 predictions
Total 3.5 74% (Strong)
168 predictions
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
191 predictions

Match preview