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Colombia · Colombia Cup 1 · Cup

22 Jul 2026 00:30 UTC

AMERICA DE CALI vs REAL CARTAGENA

Final 2:1 Almanac Moment

America de Cali won Last goal: Real Cartagena

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Rafael Carrascal — America de Cali

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Yeison Guzmán — America de Cali
  2. 🟥 Luis Quiñones (straight red) — America de Cali
  3. ⚽ Mauro Manotas — Real Cartagena

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
America de Cali
90-minute result: America de Cali
Nice call
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
11%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 113 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 113 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 9 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 33% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 78% (Strong)
Total 4.5 78% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
35 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview