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Colombia · Colombia Cup 1 · Cup

22 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO PASTO vs BOGOTA FC

Final 0:1

Bogota FC won Last goal: Bogota FC

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Jair Velasco — Bogota FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Deportivo Pasto
90-minute result: Bogota FC
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Lucky hit
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 52% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 33 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 113 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 113 completed matches.

1X2 49% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 10 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 70% (Strong)
Total 1.5 20% (Weak)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 80% (Strong)
Total 4.5 100% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 49% (Average)
80 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview