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Colombia · Colombia Cup 1 · Cup

22 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

ONCE CALDAS vs ENVIGADO

Final 3:0

Once Caldas won Last goal: Once Caldas

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jaime Alvarado — Once Caldas
  2. ⚽ Jefry Zapata — Once Caldas

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Juan Castano — Once Caldas

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Once Caldas
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
19%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 39% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 31 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 28% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 113 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 113 completed matches.

1X2 39% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 84% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 19% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 39% (Weak)
33 predictions
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
41 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
66 predictions
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
107 predictions

Match overview