SANTA FE vs UNION MAGDALENA
Model Context
Match prediction context
Probability in similar matches
50% (Average)
How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).
Based on 32 past matches with this goal margin in this league.
Draw likelihood
29% (Typical)
Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.
Based on 110 finished matches in this league.
League
Historical model performance in this league before this match date.
Based on 113 completed matches.
1X2
49% (Average)
Both teams to score
51% (Average)
Total 1.5
57% (Good)
Total 2.5
50% (Average)
Total 3.5
72% (Strong)
Total 4.5
84% (Strong)
Score
11% (Weak)
Teams
This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.
Based on 9 past matches
Small sample sizes may be less reliable.
1X2
44% (Weak)
Both teams to score
56% (Good)
Total 1.5
67% (Strong)
Total 2.5
67% (Strong)
Total 3.5
78% (Strong)
Total 4.5
78% (Strong)
Score
0% (Risky)
Markets
This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.
1X2
49% (Average)
80 predictions
Both teams to score
56% (Good)
72 predictions
Total 1.5
32% (Weak)
47 predictions
Total 2.5
53% (Average)
78 predictions
Total 3.5
76% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5
89% (Strong)
107 predictions