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Sweden · Superettan

21 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

FALKENBERGS FF vs HELSINGBORG

Final 2:3

Helsingborg won Last goal: Falkenbergs FF

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Hampus Kaellstroem — Falkenbergs FF
  2. Alvin Nordin — Helsingborg
  3. Timothé Rupil — Helsingborg
  4. Alexander Johansson — Helsingborg
  5. Albin Andersson — Falkenbergs FF

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 51% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 79 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 275 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 344 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 81 past matches

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 48% (Average)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
271 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
198 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
268 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
197 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
241 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
293 predictions

Match overview