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Sweden · Superettan

19 Jul 2026 13:00 UTC

IFK VAERNAMO vs LJUNGSKILE

Final 2:3

Ljungskile won Last goal: Ljungskile

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Mehmet Uzel — Ljungskile

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alex Rasheed — Ljungskile
  2. ⚽ Viktor Claesson — IFK Vaernamo
  3. ⚽ Shakur Omar — Ljungskile
  4. ⚽ Kai Meriluoto — IFK Vaernamo

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
37%
1X2
Ljungskile
90-minute result: Ljungskile
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
7%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 271 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 340 completed matches.

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 28 past matches

1X2 32% (Weak)
Both teams to score 64% (Good)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 41% (Weak)
268 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
145 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
264 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
145 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
238 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
290 predictions

Match overview