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Sweden · Superettan

18 Jul 2026 11:00 UTC

IK ODDEVOLD vs VARBERGS BOIS FC

Final 2:4

Varbergs BoIS FC won Last goal: Varbergs BoIS FC

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Esim Mehmed — IK Oddevold
  2. Olle Werner — Varbergs BoIS FC

2nd half

  1. Oscar Iglicar Berntsson — IK Oddevold
  2. Willhelm Aerlig — Varbergs BoIS FC
  3. Willhelm Aerlig — Varbergs BoIS FC
  4. Willhelm Aerlig — Varbergs BoIS FC

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
55%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 268 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 337 completed matches.

1X2 42% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 82 past matches

1X2 34% (Weak)
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 76% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 42% (Weak)
265 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
192 predictions
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
261 predictions
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
192 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
237 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
289 predictions

Match overview