← Back to matches

Sweden · Superettan

20 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

NORRBY vs GIF SUNDSVALL

Final 3:1

Norrby won Last goal: Norrby

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. Azeez Temitope Yusuf — Norrby
  2. Azeez Temitope Yusuf — Norrby
  3. Shalom Ekong — GIF Sundsvall
  4. Hugo Tilly — Norrby

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
81%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 26% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 72 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 24% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 274 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 343 completed matches.

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Average)
Total 1.5 64% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 26% (Weak)
72 predictions
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
197 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
267 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
146 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
240 predictions
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
292 predictions

Match overview