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Iceland · Besta Deildin · Besta deildin

26 Jul 2026 19:15 UTC

IA AKRANES vs STJARNAN

Final 5:1

IA Akranes won Last goal: IA Akranes

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Haukur Haraldsson — IA Akranes
  2. ⚽ Viktor Jonsson — IA Akranes
  3. ⚽ Jón Gíslason — IA Akranes

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Andri Bjarnason — Stjarnan
  2. ⚽ Markus Ellertsson — IA Akranes
  3. ⚽ Markus Ellertsson — IA Akranes

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
IA Akranes
90-minute result: IA Akranes
Solid call
61%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
35%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
8%
Score
3:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 5:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 59% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 27 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 23% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 185 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 239 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 79% (Strong)
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 75 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 65% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Average)
203 predictions
Both teams to score 68% (Strong)
157 predictions
Total 1.5 88% (Strong)
204 predictions
Total 2.5 63% (Good)
162 predictions
Total 3.5 41% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
188 predictions

Match overview