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Kazakhstan · Premier League

18 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

KAISAR KYZYLORDA vs KASPIY AKTAU

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Kaspiy Aktau

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Aliyar Mukhamed — Kaisar Kyzylorda

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Bernardo Morgado (2nd yellow) — Kaspiy Aktau
  2. ⚽ Keba Sylla — Kaspiy Aktau

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
39%
1X2
Kaspiy Aktau
90-minute result: Draw
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
9%
Score
0:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 58 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 32% (High)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 236 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 292 completed matches.

1X2 46% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 58% (Good)
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 41% (Weak)
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
Total 1.5 52% (Average)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 83% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 46% (Average)
211 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 32% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
174 predictions
Total 3.5 76% (Strong)
245 predictions
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
266 predictions

Match overview