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Moldova · Super Liga

18 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

ZIMBRU vs REAL SIRETI

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Real Sireti

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Victor Stîna — Zimbru
  2. ⚽ Daniel Dosca — Real Sireti

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Zimbru
90-minute result: Draw
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 37 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 123 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 141 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 43 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
104 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
74 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
100 predictions
Total 2.5 62% (Good)
68 predictions
Total 3.5 69% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
123 predictions

Match overview