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Moldova · Super Liga

19 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

CS PETROCUB vs FC SHERIFF

Final 2:3

FC Sheriff won Last goal: CS Petrocub

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jayder Asprilla — FC Sheriff

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Soumaila Magassouba — FC Sheriff
  2. ⚽ Jayder Asprilla — FC Sheriff
  3. ⚽ Petru Popescu — CS Petrocub
  4. ⚽ Nicolae Rotaru — CS Petrocub

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
CS Petrocub
90-minute result: FC Sheriff
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
45%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 54% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 125 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 143 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 41% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 77% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
106 predictions
Both teams to score 57% (Good)
68 predictions
Total 1.5 82% (Strong)
102 predictions
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
74 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
107 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
125 predictions

Match overview