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Moldova · Super Liga

11 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

REAL SIRETI vs POLITEHNICA UTM

Final 1:2

Politehnica UTM won Last goal: Politehnica UTM

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ — — Politehnica UTM
  2. ⚽ — — Real Sireti
  3. ⚽ — — Politehnica UTM

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Real Sireti
90-minute result: Politehnica UTM
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 64% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 11 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 119 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 137 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Good)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 65% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 25 past matches

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 28% (Weak)
Total 4.5 48% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Good)
100 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
64 predictions
Total 1.5 81% (Strong)
97 predictions
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
70 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
101 predictions
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
119 predictions

Match overview