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Moldova · Super Liga

25 Jul 2026 17:00 UTC

FC BALTI vs DACIA BUIUCANI

Final 1:4

Dacia Buiucani won Last goal: Dacia Buiucani

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cristian Nagurnea — Dacia Buiucani

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Igor Lambarschi — Dacia Buiucani
  2. ⚽ Valeriu Gurgurov — Dacia Buiucani
  3. ⚽ Mihail Ghecev — FC Balti
  4. ⚽ Antonii Josan — Dacia Buiucani

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
FC Balti
90-minute result: Dacia Buiucani
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 56% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 39 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 18% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 127 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 145 completed matches.

1X2 53% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
Score 6% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 71 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 58% (Good)
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 53% (Average)
108 predictions
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
75 predictions
Total 1.5 83% (Strong)
103 predictions
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
69 predictions
Total 3.5 68% (Strong)
109 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
127 predictions

Match overview