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Ireland · FAI Cup

18 Jul 2026 15:30 UTC

JANESBORO vs SLIGO ROVERS

Final 0:4

Sligo Rovers won Last goal: Sligo Rovers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luke Pearce — Sligo Rovers
  2. ⚽ Archie Meekison — Sligo Rovers

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Sean McHale — Sligo Rovers
  2. ⚽ Luke Pearce — Sligo Rovers

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
40%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: Sligo Rovers
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:4

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 59 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 65 completed matches.

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 20% (Weak)
Both teams to score 80% (Strong)
Total 1.5 80% (Strong)
Total 2.5 60% (Good)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 31% (Weak)
16 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 34% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
58 predictions

Match overview