← Back to matches

Ireland · FAI Cup

18 Jul 2026 14:00 UTC

DOUGLAS HALL vs CASTLEBAR CELTIC

Final 0:1

Castlebar Celtic won Last goal: Castlebar Celtic

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Dylan Felle — Castlebar Celtic

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Castlebar Celtic
90-minute result: Castlebar Celtic
As expected
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No
Big miss
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
56%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:3

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 9 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 59 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 65 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 5 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 60% (Good)
Both teams to score 40% (Weak)
Total 1.5 40% (Weak)
Total 2.5 40% (Weak)
Total 3.5 40% (Weak)
Total 4.5 60% (Good)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 46% (Average)
37 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
33 predictions
Total 3.5 20% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
58 predictions

Match overview