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Ireland · FAI Cup

18 Jul 2026 16:00 UTC

BALDOYLE UNITED vs LONGFORD TOWN

Final 0:8

Longford Town won Last goal: Longford Town

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Pharrell Manuel — Longford Town
  2. ⚽ Pharrell Manuel — Longford Town
  3. ⚽ Stefan Ugbesia — Longford Town

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Alex O'Brien — Longford Town
  2. ⚽ Stefan Ugbesia — Longford Town
  3. ⚽ Stefan Ugbesia — Longford Town
  4. ⚽ Stefan Ugbesia — Longford Town
  5. ⚽ Cole Omorehiomwan — Longford Town

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Baldoyle United
90-minute result: Longford Town
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
54%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
77%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
25%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:8

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 50% (Average)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 4 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 17% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 59 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 65 completed matches.

1X2 51% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
Total 4.5 72% (Strong)
Score 3% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 4 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 25% (Weak)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 25% (Weak)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 25% (Strong)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 51% (Average)
49 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
28 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
50 predictions
Total 2.5 67% (Strong)
33 predictions
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
50 predictions
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
58 predictions

Match overview