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Ireland · FAI Cup

17 Jul 2026 18:45 UTC

TREATY UNITED vs UCD

Final 1:2

UCD won Last goal: UCD

Match timeline

1st half

  1. 🟥 Colm Whelan (straight red) — Treaty United
  2. ⚽ Ronan Manning (penalty) — Treaty United

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Hugh Smith — UCD
  2. ⚽ Charles Akinrintayo — UCD

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Treaty United
90-minute result: UCD
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
85%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
62%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
59%
Total 4.5
Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
4:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 3 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 16% (Low)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 49 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 55 completed matches.

1X2 55% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
Total 2.5 55% (Average)
Total 3.5 45% (Average)
Total 4.5 71% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 2 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 100% (Strong)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 50% (Average)
Total 4.5 50% (Average)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 55% (Average)
42 predictions
Both teams to score 45% (Weak)
29 predictions
Total 1.5 90% (Strong)
42 predictions
Total 2.5 68% (Strong)
28 predictions
Total 3.5 17% (Weak)
12 predictions
Total 4.5 20% (Weak)
5 predictions

Match overview