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Uzbekistan · Uzbek League · Superliga

16 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

BUNYODKOR TASHKENT vs NASAF QARSHI

Final 1:3

Nasaf Qarshi won Last goal: Nasaf Qarshi

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Bilolkhon Toshmirzaev — Bunyodkor Tashkent
  2. ⚽ Bobur Abdikhalikov — Nasaf Qarshi

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Bobur Abdikhalikov — Nasaf Qarshi
  2. ⚽ Yusuf Otubanjo — Nasaf Qarshi
  3. 🟥 Yusuf Otubanjo (2nd yellow) — Nasaf Qarshi

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Big miss
51%
1X2
Bunyodkor Tashkent
90-minute result: Nasaf Qarshi
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
4:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 100% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+4; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 1 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 63 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 62 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 63% (Good)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
46 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
52 predictions
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
30 predictions
Total 3.5 13% (Weak)
15 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
57 predictions

Match overview