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Uzbekistan · Uzbek League · Superliga

21 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

SOGDIANA vs NEFTCHI FARGONA

Final 1:5

Neftchi Fargona won Last goal: Neftchi Fargona

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Petar Micin — Sogdiana
  2. ⚽ Ibrokhimkhalil Yo'ldoshev — Neftchi Fargona
  3. ⚽ Khurshid Giyosov — Neftchi Fargona
  4. ⚽ Stipe Perica — Neftchi Fargona

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Anvar Gofurov — Neftchi Fargona
  2. ⚽ Jamshid Iskanderov — Neftchi Fargona

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Neftchi Fargona
90-minute result: Neftchi Fargona
Solid call
62%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
6%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:5

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 71 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 70 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 46% (Average)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 81% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 63% (Good)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 31% (Weak)
Total 4.5 63% (Good)
Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
52 predictions
Both teams to score 62% (Good)
42 predictions
Total 1.5 78% (Strong)
58 predictions
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
33 predictions
Total 3.5 66% (Strong)
53 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
64 predictions

Match overview