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Uzbekistan · Uzbek League · Superliga

18 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

QIZILQUM ZARAFSHON vs DINAMO SAMARKAND

Final 1:2 Almanac Moment

Dinamo Samarkand won Last goal: Qizilqum Zarafshon

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Firdavs Abdurakhmonov — Dinamo Samarkand
  2. ⚽ Anvar Khozhimirzaev — Dinamo Samarkand

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Haris Hajdarevic (own goal) — Qizilqum Zarafshon

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Dinamo Samarkand
90-minute result: Dinamo Samarkand
Nice call
57%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
78%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
48%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
13%
Score
1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 57% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 14 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 69 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 68 completed matches.

1X2 52% (Average)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 44% (Weak)
Total 3.5 54% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 16 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
Total 3.5 44% (Weak)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 52% (Average)
50 predictions
Both teams to score 60% (Good)
40 predictions
Total 1.5 77% (Strong)
56 predictions
Total 2.5 48% (Average)
31 predictions
Total 3.5 65% (Strong)
52 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
63 predictions

Match overview