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Uzbekistan · Uzbek League · Superliga

16 Jul 2026 15:00 UTC

NEFTCHI FARGONA vs BUXORO

Final 2:1

Neftchi Fargona won Last goal: Neftchi Fargona

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Khurshidbek Mukhtorov (penalty) — Buxoro

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Stipe Perica — Neftchi Fargona
  2. ⚽ Jamshid Iskanderov — Neftchi Fargona

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

On point
51%
1X2
Neftchi Fargona
90-minute result: Neftchi Fargona
As expected
47%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
30%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 60% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 10 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 22% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 63 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 62 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 68% (Strong)
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
Total 3.5 52% (Average)
Total 4.5 82% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 14 past matches

Small sample sizes may be less reliable.

1X2 50% (Average)
Both teams to score 43% (Weak)
Total 1.5 50% (Average)
Total 2.5 29% (Weak)
Total 3.5 29% (Weak)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
46 predictions
Both teams to score 39% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 1.5 30% (Weak)
10 predictions
Total 2.5 38% (Weak)
32 predictions
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
47 predictions
Total 4.5 89% (Strong)
57 predictions

Match overview