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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

16 Jul 2026 00:00 UTC

THE STRONGEST vs ORIENTE PETROLERO

Final 2:1

The Strongest won Last goal: The Strongest

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Jaime Arrascaita — The Strongest
  2. ⚽ Jose Flores — Oriente Petrolero

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Darwin Lom — The Strongest
  2. 🟥 Darwin Lom (straight red) — The Strongest

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

Off target
45%
1X2
Draw
90-minute result: The Strongest
Lucky hit
44%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
13%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 29% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 69 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 21% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 229 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 47% (Average)
Both teams to score 44% (Weak)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 13% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview