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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

12 Jul 2026 23:30 UTC

REAL TOMAYAPO vs INDEPENDIENTE PETROLERO

Final 2:1

Real Tomayapo won Last goal: Real Tomayapo

Match timeline

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Ramiro Eguez — Real Tomayapo
  2. ⚽ Rodrigo Gonzalez (penalty) — Independiente Petrolero
  3. 🟥 Juan Ribera (straight red) — Real Tomayapo
  4. ⚽ Javier Guerra — Real Tomayapo
  5. 🟥 Cristian Urdininea (straight red) — Independiente Petrolero

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

As expected
37%
1X2
Independiente Petrolero
90-minute result: Real Tomayapo
As expected
57%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
70%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
70%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 10% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 21 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 224 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 183 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 45 past matches

1X2 56% (Good)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 64% (Good)
Total 4.5 62% (Good)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
140 predictions
Both teams to score 59% (Good)
111 predictions
Total 1.5 85% (Strong)
150 predictions
Total 2.5 71% (Strong)
105 predictions
Total 3.5 46% (Average)
63 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
152 predictions

Match overview