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Bolivia · Liga de Fútbol Profesional · Apertura

19 Jul 2026 00:30 UTC

AURORA vs ORIENTE PETROLERO

Final 2:2

Draw Last goal: Aurora

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Adrian Pena — Oriente Petrolero
  2. Michael Rangel — Aurora

2nd half

  1. Jose Flores — Oriente Petrolero
  2. Rodrigo Ramallo — Aurora

Model predictions were

Predictions are settled on the 90-minute result, including stoppage time but excluding extra time and penalties.

No surprise
44%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
On point
80%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
37%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
65%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
75%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
8%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 69% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 45 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 20% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 233 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 186 completed matches.

1X2 54% (Average)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 72% (Strong)
Total 2.5 57% (Good)
Total 3.5 56% (Good)
Total 4.5 67% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 48% (Average)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 75% (Strong)
Total 2.5 58% (Good)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 75% (Strong)
Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 54% (Average)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 35% (Weak)
72 predictions
Total 1.5 84% (Strong)
153 predictions
Total 2.5 37% (Weak)
78 predictions
Total 3.5 61% (Good)
122 predictions
Total 4.5 74% (Strong)
155 predictions

Match overview